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Will NASCAR’s Chase favorite Denny Hamlin finish strong at 45?

Does Denny Hamlin, NASCAR Chase favorite, get it done at 45?

Denny Hamlin begins the new Chase for the Championship as the clear frontrunner, holding a 25‑point lead over Ryan Blaney and a 35‑point lead over Tyler Reddick after winning the regular‑season title and securing four victories this year.

Hamlin’s Chase Lead and Season Context

At 46, Hamlin faces a 14‑month window before his planned retirement. The veteran’s 48th race this season, which will be his last if he chooses to step away now, carries enormous personal weight after the loss of his father to a house fire a month after the season’s pivotal Phoenix race.

Mechanics of the Updated Playoff Structure

The Cup Series will use a 16‑driver field that accumulates points over ten races. Each driver’s final score includes stage points, so the format rewards consistent performance across multiple segments rather than a single finish. The highest scorer after the last race claims the championship, and the seeds are separated by five‑point gaps.

Hamlin on Stage Points and Race Strategy

“It’s going to come down to qualifying, then the stages, then the race itself,” Hamlin said. “The bigger body of work matters more now.” He also noted the difficulty of concentrating all effort on a single track, saying the new format forces him to spread focus across a deck of “another ten races.” The veteran expressed confidence that maintaining strong stage finishes will keep him in contention as the season progresses.

Will NASCAR’s Chase favorite Denny Hamlin finish strong at 45?
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